The model is the centerpiece of a credible evaluation or forecast."


 

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This section catalogs "tips": short descriptions of books, articles, techniques and ideas useful in making better business and personal decisions.

The tips are organized into the following categories:

DECISION MAKING

EMERGING EVALUATION TECHNOLOGIES

EVALUATION TECHNIQUES

MARKETS AND TRADING

PROJECT MANAGEMENT

STATISTICS AND PROBABILITY

COMPLETE TIPS LIST


DECISION MAKING

Tip Topic Date Revised
Tip 135 The Perfect Bet by Adam Kucharski Eeb 2018
Tip 134 Tim's Yacht—betting (investing) for a potential huge payoff Dec 2017
Tip 133 Goal Seek method for fast IRR solutions rev. Oct 2017
Tip 132 For Forecasts, Bet on Monte Carlo Methods 8/1/2016
Tip 131 Brain Rules: 12 Principles for Surviving and Thriving 11/1/2015
Tip 130 Brain Bugs: How the Brain's Flaws Shape Our Lives 2/1/2014
Tip 129 $3.29 million Watermelon: Fun with IRR 1/1/2014 1/1/2015
Tip 128 To Forgive Design: Understanding Failure 5/1/2013
Tip 127 Car Loan Interest Rate Calculation 4/1/2013
Tip 126 The Black Swan: the Impact of the Highly Improbable 4/1/2013
Tip 125 Antifragile by Nassim Nicholas Taleb 3/1/2013
Tip 124 Thinking, Fast and Slow by Daniel Kahneman 3/1/2013 2/1/2014
Tip 123 The Coming Generational Storm: What You Need to Know about America ... 9/1/2012
Tip 122 Advances in Decision Analysis from Foundations to Applications 8/1/2012
Tip 121 The Clash of Generations: Saving Ourselves, Our Kids, and Our Economy 4/1/2012 9/1/2012
Tip 120 The Big Short: Inside the Doomsday Machine 4/1/2011
Tip 119 Making Good Decisions 3/1/2011
Tip 118 This Time is Different: Eight Centuries of Financial Folly 7/1/2010
Tip 117 The Failure of Risk Management: Why It's Broken and How to Fix It 7/1/2009
Tip 116 How to Measure Anything: Finding the Value of Intangibles in Business 6/1/2008
Tip 115 Computerized Third Party (CTP) for group decision-making and negotiations 10/1/2006
Tip 114 Last Days on Earth (20/20) 8/1/2006
Tip 113 Optimizer's Curse 5/1/2006
Tip 112 Forecasting Shareholder Value: The Missing Objective in Balanced Scorecards 5/1/2006 8/1/2006
Tip 111 Ahead of the Curve by Joseph Ellis 3/6/2006
Tip 110 Critical Chain Project Management by Lawrence P. Leach 1/6/2006 1/24/2006
Tip 109 EMV and Shareholder Value 1/6/2006
Tip 108 Decision-making styles of women vs. men 11/5/2005
Tip 107 Our Final Hour: A Scientist's Warning by Martin Rees 3/1/2005
Tip 106 Justifying Training with Performance Improvement 2/5/2005
Tip 105 The Paradox of Choice by Barry Schwartz 2/5/2005
Tip 100 Extraordinary Popular Delusions and the Madness of Crowds 11/5/2003
Tip 098 Risk, Uncertainty and Investment Decision-Making in the Upstream O&G Industry 7/5/2003
Tip 097 'Portfolio Management: What is the Contribution to Shareholder Value?' 6/5/2003
Tip 096 'Evolving Inventions' by John Koza, Martin Keane and Matthew Streeter 2/5/2003 2/5/2003
Tip 095 Markets, Mobs & Mayhemby Robert Menschel 1/5/2003
Tip 094 Fooled by Randomness by Nassim Taleb 10/5/2002
Tip 093 Jack: Straight from the Gut by Jack Welch 2/5/2002
Tip 090 John's advice to young people for a great career and happy life 1/5/2002
Tip 089 Good to Great by Jim Collins (exceptional business management book) 1/5/2002
Tip 086 'Why So Many People Made So Many Brain-Dead Investments' 8/5/2001
Tip 078 'America, the beautiful carbon sink' by Peter Huber 12/1/2000
Tip 077 Reverse Auctions 11/1/2000 12/1/2000
Tip 076 'Making Decisions with Precision' (optimization software) 10/1/2000
Tip 074 The Greatest Inventions of the Past 2,000 Years 7/1/2000
Tip 073 Re-Creating the Corporation by Russell Ackoff 7/1/2000
Tip 072 Managing by the Numbers by Chuck Kremer, et al. 6/1/2000 11/5/2017
Tip 070 'Process Control with Intelligence: A Unified Approach' 5/1/2000
Tip 069 'Lessons Learned Through Process Thinking and Review' 4/1/2000
Tip 063 The Accidental Theorist by Paul Krugman 11/1/1999
Tip 060 PowerPoint: an Inferior Solution ... for me 9/1/1999 12/1/2000
Tip 059 Seeing Tomorrow: Rewriting the Rules of Risk 9/1/1999
Tip 057 The McKinsey Way by Ethan Raisel 6/1/1999
Tip 053 The Ostrich Factor: Our Population Myopia 5/1/1999 1/1/2000
Tip 052 Smart Choices: A Practical Guide to Making Better Decisions 4/1/1999 5/1/1999
Tip 047 Economic Risk in Hydrocarbon Exploration 2/1/1999
Tip 044 'The Perfect Decision', Inc. interview with Ralph Keeney et al. 10/1/1998 5/1/1999
Tip 043 The Enlightened Manager's Guidebook by Abraham Maslow 10/1/1998
Tip 042 'Management's New Paradigms' by Peter Drucker 9/1/1998 10/1/1998
Tip 041 'Of Mice and Economics' -- People resist a major precept of economics 8/1/1998
Tip 040 Billions & Billions by Carl Sagan 8/1/1998 6/5/2017
Tip 038 Company Value Added by OBM 6/1/1998 8/1/1998
Tip 035 'The End of Cheap Oil' 3/1/1998 6/1/1999
Tip 034 Against the Gods: The Remarkable Story of Risk 2/1/1998
Tip 027 5-Steps in the Creative Process 12/1/1997
Tip 024 Participative Management (OBM) 8/1/1997
Tip 023 Best Practices database 8/1/1997
Tip 020 Why Flip a Coin: The Art and Science of Good Decisions 7/1/1997
Tip 019 'Evaluation of Vision Correction Alternatives for Myopic Adults' 5/1/1997
Tip 016 Shareholders Aren't Everything'; Built to Last; Three Cheers for Capitalism 2/1/1997
Tip 015 Decision Analysis in Projects available 1/1/1997 1/5/2017
Tip 013 'Creativity in OR/MS: Creativity-Enhancing Strategies' Interfaces 12/1/1996 3/1/1997
Tip 011 Wise Choices: Decisions, Games, and Negotiations 10/1/1996
Tip 008 The Ford Pinto Case: A Study in Applied Ethics, Business and Technology 8/1/1996
Tip 006 'The New Religion of Risk Management' 7/1/1996
Tip 004 Modeling for Learning Organizations 6/1/1996
Tip 002 Making Hard Decisions by Robert Clemen 8/1/1996 8/1/1996

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EMERGING EVALUATION TECHNOLOGIES

Tip Topic Date Revised
Tip 132 For Forecasts, Bet on Monte Carlo Methods 8/1/2016
Tip 130 Brain Bugs: How the Brain's Flaws Shape Our Lives 2/1/2014
Tip 126 The Black Swan: the Impact of the Highly Improbable 4/1/2013
Tip 125 Antifragile by Nassim Nicholas Taleb 3/1/2013
Tip 124 Thinking, Fast and Slow by Daniel Kahneman 3/1/2013 2/1/2014
Tip 115 Computerized Third Party (CTP) for group decision-making and negotiations 10/1/2006
Tip 114 Last Days on Earth (20/20) 8/1/2006
Tip 113 Optimizer's Curse 5/1/2006
Tip 103 Trading Chaos: Applying Expert Techniques to Maximize Your Profits 12/5/2004
Tip 102 'Neural Network Control System for Steam Injection' 9/5/2004
Tip 096 'Evolving Inventions' by John Koza, Martin Keane and Matthew Streeter 2/5/2003 2/5/2003
Tip 079 XBRL: eXtensible Business Reporting Language 12/1/2000
Tip 066 'Swarm Smarts, Solving Complex Problems Using Ant Models' 2/1/2000
Tip 062 Faster: The Acceleration of Just About Everything by James Gleick 10/1/1999
Tip 051 Neural Networks 4/1/1999 2/5/2017
Tip 017 Agent-Based Simulation 4/1/1997 11/5/2017

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EVALUATION TECHNIQUES

Tip Topic Date Revised
Tip 133 Goal Seek Interpolation Method: Solving for IRR Example 9/26/2017
Tip 132 For Forecasts, Bet on Monte Carlo Methods 8/1/2016
Tip 131 Brain Rules: 12 Principles for Surviving and Thriving 11/1/2015
Tip 130 Brain Bugs: How the Brain's Flaws Shape Our Lives 2/1/2014
Tip 129 $3.29 million Watermelon: Fun with IRR 1/1/2014 1/1/2015
Tip 128 To Forgive Design: Understanding Failure 5/1/2013
Tip 127 Car Loan Interest Rate Calculation 4/1/2013
Tip 126 The Black Swan: the Impact of the Highly Improbable 4/1/2013
Tip 125 Antifragile by Nassim Nicholas Taleb 3/1/2013
Tip 124 Thinking, Fast and Slow by Daniel Kahneman 3/1/2013 2/1/2014
Tip 122 Advances in Decision Analysis from Foundations to Applications 8/1/2012
Tip 120 The Big Short: Inside the Doomsday Machine 4/1/2011
Tip 119 Making Good Decisions 3/1/2011
Tip 118 This Time is Different: Eight Centuries of Financial Folly 7/1/2010
Tip 117 The Failure of Risk Management: Why It's Broken and How to Fix It 7/1/2009
Tip 116 How to Measure Anything: Finding the Value of Intangibles in Business 6/1/2008
Tip 115 Computerized Third Party (CTP) for group decision-making and negotiations 10/1/2006
Tip 113 Optimizer's Curse 5/1/2006
Tip 112 Forecasting Shareholder Value: The Missing Objective in Balanced Scorecards 5/1/2006 8/1/2006
Tip 111 Ahead of the Curve by Joseph Ellis 3/6/2006
Tip 110 Critical Chain Project Management by Lawrence P. Leach 1/6/2006 1/24/2006
Tip 109 EMV and Shareholder Value 1/6/2006
Tip 106 Justifying Training with Performance Improvement 2/5/2005
Tip 101 'Why Monte Carlo Simulations of Project Networks Can Mislead' 9/5/2004
Tip 099 Model and Software Risks 7/5/2003
Tip 098 Risk, Uncertainty and Investment Decision-Making in the Upstream O&G Industry 7/5/2003
Tip 085 Cash Counts 6/5/2001
Tip 084 'Tvalue' program for time value and amortization calculations 3/5/2001
Tip 081 'AI Trilogy' (software for predicting, classifying, and optimizing) 2/5/2001
Tip 080 Conditional Cell Formatting in Excel 1/5/2001 4/1/2002
Tip 079 XBRL: eXtensible Business Reporting Language 12/1/2000
Tip 077 Reverse Auctions 11/1/2000 12/1/2000
Tip 076 'Making Decisions with Precision' (optimization software) 10/1/2000
Tip 075 Not 'Estimating' Chance of Success 10/1/2000
Tip 068 Irrational Exuberance by Robert Shiller 4/1/2000
Tip 067 Dow 36,000 by Glassman and Hassett (includes Buffett reference) 3/1/2000 3/1/2000
Tip 065 Choice of Denominator in Investment Ranking Criterion 2/1/2000
Tip 064 Calculate Return on Your Investment with Excel 1/1/2000 4/5/2017
Tip 061 Formatting Thousands and Millions in Excel 10/1/1999
Tip 058 Real Options: Managing Strategic Investment in an Uncertain World 7/1/1999
Tip 056 Risk Management: Concepts and Guidance by Carl Pritchard, Ed. 6/1/1999 1/5/2017
Tip 050 Financial Models Using Simulation and Optimization by W. Winston 3/1/1999
Tip 049 'Probabilistic Addition of Gas Reserves Within a Major Gas Project' 3/1/1999
Tip 047 Economic Risk in Hydrocarbon Exploration 2/1/1999
Tip 046 Number. of Combinations of Investment Alternatives 1/1/1999
Tip 045 Competitive Bidding: Bid Fraction 12/1/1998
Tip 037 'Repealing the Law of Averages' 3/1/1998
Tip 036 Soft vs. Hard Problems 3/1/1998
Tip 029 Monte Carlo Stopping Rule, Part 2 (see Tip 25) 1/1/1998 4/1/2000
Tip 027 5-Steps in the Creative Process 12/1/1997
Tip 026 Critical Chain 11/1/1997 3/1/2000
Tip 025 Monte Carlo Stopping Rule, Part 1 (see Tip 29) 10/1/1997 10/1/1997
Tip 023 Best Practices database 8/1/1997
Tip 022 'Analytica' 1.1 for Windows 7/1/1997
Tip 017 Agent-Based Simulation 4/1/1997 11/5/2017
Tip 014 Gradient Formula in Engineering Economics 12/1/1996 8/1/1999
Tip 013 'Creativity in OR/MS: Creativity-Enhancing Strategies' Interfaces 12/1/1996 3/1/1997
Tip 012 'PrecisionTree' Software 12/1/1996
Tip 005 Restructuring Costs to Fudge the Numbers 6/1/1996
Tip 004 Modeling for Learning Organizations 6/1/1996
Tip 003 '@RISK' 3.5 for Excel 7.0 5/1/1996
Tip 002 Making Hard Decisions by Robert Clemen 8/1/1996 8/1/1996
Tip 001 Correct Setup for HP-12c Calculators 8/1/1996 4/5/2017

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MARKETS AND TRADING

Tip Topic Date Revised
Tip 126 The Black Swan: the Impact of the Highly Improbable 4/1/2013
Tip 125 Antifragile by Nassim Nicholas Taleb 3/1/2013
Tip 124 Thinking, Fast and Slow by Daniel Kahneman 3/1/2013 2/1/2014
Tip 123 The Coming Generational Storm: What You Need to Know about America ... 9/1/2012
Tip 121 The Clash of Generations: Saving Ourselves, Our Kids, and Our Economy 4/1/2012 9/1/2012
Tip 120 The Big Short: Inside the Doomsday Machine 4/1/2011
Tip 118 This Time is Different: Eight Centuries of Financial Folly 7/1/2010
Tip 113 Optimizer's Curse 5/1/2006
Tip 112 Forecasting Shareholder Value: The Missing Objective in Balanced Scorecards 5/1/2006 8/1/2006
Tip 111 Ahead of the Curve by Joseph Ellis 3/6/2006
Tip 109 EMV and Shareholder Value 1/6/2006
Tip 107 Our Final Hour: A Scientist's Warning by Martin Rees 3/1/2005
Tip 103 Trading Chaos: Applying Expert Techniques to Maximize Your Profits 12/5/2004
Tip 100 Extraordinary Popular Delusions and the Madness of Crowds 11/5/2003
Tip 097 'Portfolio Management: What is the Contribution to Shareholder Value?' 6/5/2003
Tip 095 Markets, Mobs & Mayhemby Robert Menschel 1/5/2003
Tip 092 More Warren Buffett books by Robert Hagstrom 2/5/2002
Tip 091 Toward Rational Exuberance by Mark Smith 1/5/2002
Tip 088 The Essential Buffett: Timeless Principles for the New Economy 12/5/2001
Tip 048 'A Multifractal Walk down Wall Street' 2/1/1999
Tip 007 A Random Walk Down Wall Street 8/1/1996

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PROJECT MANAGEMENT

Tip Topic Date Revised
Tip 128 To Forgive Design: Understanding Failure 5/1/2013
Tip 117 The Failure of Risk Management: Why It's Broken and How to Fix It 7/1/2009
Tip 116 How to Measure Anything: Finding the Value of Intangibles in Business 6/1/2008
Tip 115 Computerized Third Party (CTP) for group decision-making and negotiations 10/1/2006
Tip 110 Critical Chain Project Management by Lawrence P. Leach 1/6/2006 1/24/2006
Tip 101 'Why Monte Carlo Simulations of Project Networks Can Mislead' 9/5/2004
Tip 087 Benefit of project risk management, and three types of model variables 10/5/2001
Tip 071 PMBOK® Guide, Project Management Body of Knowledge 5/1/2000 10/5/2017
Tip 056 Risk Management: Concepts and Guidance by Carl Pritchard, Ed. 6/1/1999 1/5/2017
Tip 055 Critical path concept is the key idea for a new drillship design 5/1/1999 12/1/2000
Tip 054 Practical Risk Assessment for Project Management by S. Gray 5/1/1999
Tip 039 Project Management in the Fast Lane: Applying the Theory of Constraints 8/1/1998
Tip 026 Critical Chain 11/1/1997 3/1/2000
Tip 024 Participative Management (OBM) 8/1/1997
Tip 018 'Planning for Crises in Project Management' PMJ 5/1/1997
Tip 015 Decision Analysis in Projects available 1/1/1997 1/5/2017
Tip 010 'Project Risks and Risk Allocation' 9/1/1996

Return to Top of Page


STATISTICS AND PROBABILITY

Tip Topic Date Revised
Tip 132 For Forecasts, Bet on Monte Carlo Methods 8/1/2016
Tip 128 To Forgive Design: Understanding Failure 5/1/2013
Tip 122 Advances in Decision Analysis from Foundations to Applications 8/1/2012
Tip 119 Making Good Decisions 3/1/2011
Tip 118 This Time is Different: Eight Centuries of Financial Folly 7/1/2010
Tip 117 The Failure of Risk Management: Why It's Broken and How to Fix It 7/1/2009
Tip 116 How to Measure Anything: Finding the Value of Intangibles in Business 6/1/2008
Tip 114 Last Days on Earth (20/20) 8/1/2006
Tip 113 Optimizer's Curse 5/1/2006
Tip 111 Ahead of the Curve by Joseph Ellis 3/6/2006
Tip 104 Geometric Mean and Harmonic Mean 1/5/2005
Tip 094 Fooled by Randomness by Nassim Taleb 10/5/2002
Tip 075 Not 'Estimating' Chance of Success 10/1/2000
Tip 059 Seeing Tomorrow: Rewriting the Rules of Risk 9/1/1999
Tip 058 Real Options: Managing Strategic Investment in an Uncertain World 7/1/1999
Tip 047 Economic Risk in Hydrocarbon Exploration 2/1/1999
Tip 046 Number. of Combinations of Investment Alternatives 1/1/1999
Tip 037 'Repealing the Law of Averages' 3/1/1998
Tip 033 Answer to the 'The Three Cards' Teaser Problem 1/1/1998
Tip 032 Visual Revelations by Howard Wainer 1/1/1998
Tip 031 Teaser Problem: 'The Three Cards' 1/1/1998
Tip 030 Improve Your Lottery Expected Value 1/1/1998
Tip 029 Monte Carlo Stopping Rule, Part 2 (see Tip 25) 1/1/1998 4/1/2000
Tip 026 Critical Chain 11/1/1997 3/1/2000
Tip 025 Monte Carlo Stopping Rule, Part 1 (see Tip 29) 10/1/1997 10/1/1997
Tip 021 Switch Award Paradox 7/1/1997 8/1/1997
Tip 020 Why Flip a Coin: The Art and Science of Good Decisions 7/1/1997
Tip 009 The Problem with Girls (See also Tip 31) 8/1/1996 1/1/1998
Tip 006 'The New Religion of Risk Management' 7/1/1996

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COMPLETE TIPS LIST

Tip Topic Date Revised
Tip 133 Goal Seek Interpolation Method: Solving for IRR Example 9/26/2017
Tip 132 For Forecasts, Bet on Monte Carlo Methods 8/1/2016
Tip 131 Brain Rules: 12 Principles for Surviving and Thriving 11/1/2015
Tip 130 Brain Bugs: How the Brain's Flaws Shape Our Lives 2/1/2014
Tip 129 $3.29 million Watermelon: Fun with IRR 1/1/2014 1/1/2015
Tip 128 To Forgive Design: Understanding Failure 5/1/2013
Tip 127 Car Loan Interest Rate Calculation 4/1/2013
Tip 126 The Black Swan: the Impact of the Highly Improbable 4/1/2013
Tip 125 Antifragile by Nassim Nicholas Taleb 3/1/2013
Tip 124 Thinking, Fast and Slow by Daniel Kahneman 3/1/2013 2/1/2014
Tip 123 The Coming Generational Storm: What You Need to Know about America ... 9/1/2012
Tip 122 Advances in Decision Analysis from Foundations to Applications 8/1/2012
Tip 121 The Clash of Generations: Saving Ourselves, Our Kids, and Our Economy 4/1/2012 9/1/2012
Tip 120 The Big Short: Inside the Doomsday Machine 4/1/2011
Tip 119 Making Good Decisions 3/1/2011
Tip 118 This Time is Different: Eight Centuries of Financial Folly 7/1/2010
Tip 117 The Failure of Risk Management: Why It's Broken and How to Fix It 7/1/2009
Tip 116 How to Measure Anything: Finding the Value of Intangibles in Business 6/1/2008
Tip 115 Computerized Third Party (CTP) for group decision-making and negotiations 10/1/2006
Tip 114 Last Days on Earth (20/20) 8/1/2006
Tip 113 Optimizer's Curse 5/1/2006
Tip 112 Forecasting Shareholder Value: The Missing Objective in Balanced Scorecards 5/1/2006 8/1/2006
Tip 111 Ahead of the Curve by Joseph Ellis 3/6/2006
Tip 110 Critical Chain Project Management by Lawrence P. Leach 1/6/2006 1/24/2006
Tip 109 EMV and Shareholder Value 1/6/2006
Tip 108 Decision-making styles of women vs. men 11/5/2005
Tip 107 Our Final Hour: A Scientist's Warning by Martin Rees 3/1/2005
Tip 106 Justifying Training with Performance Improvement 2/5/2005
Tip 105 The Paradox of Choice by Barry Schwartz 2/5/2005
Tip 104 Geometric Mean and Harmonic Mean 1/5/2005
Tip 103 Trading Chaos: Applying Expert Techniques to Maximize Your Profits 12/5/2004
Tip 102 'Neural Network Control System for Steam Injection' 9/5/2004
Tip 101 'Why Monte Carlo Simulations of Project Networks Can Mislead' 9/5/2004
Tip 100 Extraordinary Popular Delusions and the Madness of Crowds 11/5/2003
Tip 099 Model and Software Risks 7/5/2003
Tip 098 Risk, Uncertainty and Investment Decision-Making in the Upstream O&G Industry 7/5/2003
Tip 097 'Portfolio Management: What is the Contribution to Shareholder Value?' 6/5/2003
Tip 096 'Evolving Inventions' by John Koza, Martin Keane and Matthew Streeter 2/5/2003 2/5/2003
Tip 095 Markets, Mobs & Mayhemby Robert Menschel 1/5/2003
Tip 094 Fooled by Randomness by Nassim Taleb 10/5/2002
Tip 093 Jack: Straight from the Gut by Jack Welch 2/5/2002
Tip 092 More Warren Buffett books by Robert Hagstrom 2/5/2002
Tip 091 Toward Rational Exuberance by Mark Smith 1/5/2002
Tip 090 John's advice to young people for a great career and happy life 1/5/2002
Tip 089 Good to Great by Jim Collins (exceptional business management book) 1/5/2002
Tip 088 The Essential Buffett: Timeless Principles for the New Economy 12/5/2001
Tip 087 Benefit of project risk management, and three types of model variables 10/5/2001
Tip 086 'Why So Many People Made So Many Brain-Dead Investments' 8/5/2001
Tip 085 Cash Counts 6/5/2001
Tip 084 'Tvalue' program for time value and amortization calculations 3/5/2001
Tip 081 'AI Trilogy' (software for predicting, classifying, and optimizing) 2/5/2001
Tip 080 Conditional Cell Formatting in Excel 1/5/2001 4/1/2002
Tip 079 XBRL: eXtensible Business Reporting Language 12/1/2000
Tip 078 'America, the beautiful carbon sink' by Peter Huber 12/1/2000
Tip 077 Reverse Auctions 11/1/2000 12/1/2000
Tip 076 'Making Decisions with Precision' (optimization software) 10/1/2000
Tip 075 Not 'Estimating' Chance of Success 10/1/2000
Tip 074 The Greatest Inventions of the Past 2,000 Years 7/1/2000
Tip 073 Re-Creating the Corporation by Russell Ackoff 7/1/2000
Tip 072 Managing by the Numbers by Chuck Kremer, et al. 6/1/2000 11/5/2017
Tip 071 PMBOK® Guide, Project Management Body of Knowledge 5/1/2000 10/5/2017
Tip 070 'Process Control with Intelligence: A Unified Approach' 5/1/2000
Tip 069 'Lessons Learned Through Process Thinking and Review' 4/1/2000
Tip 068 Irrational Exuberance by Robert Shiller 4/1/2000
Tip 067 Dow 36,000 by Glassman and Hassett (includes Buffett reference) 3/1/2000 3/1/2000
Tip 066 'Swarm Smarts, Solving Complex Problems Using Ant Models' 2/1/2000
Tip 065 Choice of Denominator in Investment Ranking Criterion 2/1/2000
Tip 064 Calculate Return on Your Investment with Excel 1/1/2000 4/5/2017
Tip 063 The Accidental Theorist by Paul Krugman 11/1/1999
Tip 062 Faster: The Acceleration of Just About Everything by James Gleick 10/1/1999
Tip 061 Formatting Thousands and Millions in Excel 10/1/1999
Tip 060 PowerPoint: an Inferior Solution ... for me 9/1/1999 12/1/2000
Tip 059 Seeing Tomorrow: Rewriting the Rules of Risk 9/1/1999
Tip 058 Real Options: Managing Strategic Investment in an Uncertain World 7/1/1999
Tip 057 The McKinsey Way by Ethan Raisel 6/1/1999
Tip 056 Risk Management: Concepts and Guidance by Carl Pritchard, Ed. 6/1/1999 1/5/2017
Tip 055 Critical path concept is the key idea for a new drillship design 5/1/1999 12/1/2000
Tip 054 Practical Risk Assessment for Project Management by S. Gray 5/1/1999
Tip 053 The Ostrich Factor: Our Population Myopia 5/1/1999 1/1/2000
Tip 052 Smart Choices: A Practical Guide to Making Better Decisions 4/1/1999 5/1/1999
Tip 051 Neural Networks 4/1/1999 2/5/2017
Tip 050 Financial Models Using Simulation and Optimization by W. Winston 3/1/1999
Tip 049 'Probabilistic Addition of Gas Reserves Within a Major Gas Project' 3/1/1999
Tip 048 'A Multifractal Walk down Wall Street' 2/1/1999
Tip 047 Economic Risk in Hydrocarbon Exploration 2/1/1999
Tip 046 Number. of Combinations of Investment Alternatives 1/1/1999
Tip 045 Competitive Bidding: Bid Fraction 12/1/1998
Tip 044 'The Perfect Decision', Inc. interview with Ralph Keeney et al. 10/1/1998 5/1/1999
Tip 043 The Enlightened Manager's Guidebook by Abraham Maslow 10/1/1998
Tip 042 'Management's New Paradigms' by Peter Drucker 9/1/1998 10/1/1998
Tip 041 'Of Mice and Economics' -- People resist a major precept of economics 8/1/1998
Tip 040 Billions & Billions by Carl Sagan 8/1/1998 6/5/2017
Tip 039 Project Management in the Fast Lane: Applying the Theory of Constraints 8/1/1998
Tip 038 Company Value Added by OBM 6/1/1998 8/1/1998
Tip 037 'Repealing the Law of Averages' 3/1/1998
Tip 036 Soft vs. Hard Problems 3/1/1998
Tip 035 'The End of Cheap Oil' 3/1/1998 6/1/1999
Tip 034 Against the Gods: The Remarkable Story of Risk 2/1/1998
Tip 033 Answer to the 'The Three Cards' Teaser Problem 1/1/1998
Tip 032 Visual Revelations by Howard Wainer 1/1/1998
Tip 031 Teaser Problem: 'The Three Cards' 1/1/1998
Tip 030 Improve Your Lottery Expected Value 1/1/1998
Tip 029 Monte Carlo Stopping Rule, Part 2 (see Tip 25) 1/1/1998 4/1/2000
Tip 027 5-Steps in the Creative Process 12/1/1997
Tip 026 Critical Chain 11/1/1997 3/1/2000
Tip 025 Monte Carlo Stopping Rule, Part 1 (see Tip 29) 10/1/1997 10/1/1997
Tip 024 Participative Management (OBM) 8/1/1997
Tip 023 Best Practices database 8/1/1997
Tip 022 'Analytica' 1.1 for Windows 7/1/1997
Tip 021 Switch Award Paradox 7/1/1997 8/1/1997
Tip 020 Why Flip a Coin: The Art and Science of Good Decisions 7/1/1997
Tip 019 'Evaluation of Vision Correction Alternatives for Myopic Adults' 5/1/1997
Tip 018 'Planning for Crises in Project Management' PMJ 5/1/1997
Tip 017 Agent-Based Simulation 4/1/1997 11/5/2017
Tip 016 Shareholders Aren't Everything'; Built to Last; Three Cheers for Capitalism 2/1/1997
Tip 015 Decision Analysis in Projects available 1/1/1997 1/5/2017
Tip 014 Gradient Formula in Engineering Economics 12/1/1996 8/1/1999
Tip 013 'Creativity in OR/MS: Creativity-Enhancing Strategies' Interfaces 12/1/1996 3/1/1997
Tip 012 'PrecisionTree' Software 12/1/1996
Tip 011 Wise Choices: Decisions, Games, and Negotiations 10/1/1996
Tip 010 'Project Risks and Risk Allocation' 9/1/1996
Tip 009 The Problem with Girls (See also Tip 31) 8/1/1996 1/1/1998
Tip 008 The Ford Pinto Case: A Study in Applied Ethics, Business and Technology 8/1/1996
Tip 007 A Random Walk Down Wall Street 8/1/1996
Tip 006 'The New Religion of Risk Management' 7/1/1996
Tip 005 Restructuring Costs to Fudge the Numbers 6/1/1996
Tip 004 Modeling for Learning Organizations 6/1/1996
Tip 003 '@RISK' 3.5 for Excel 7.0 5/1/1996
Tip 002 Making Hard Decisions by Robert Clemen 8/1/1996 8/1/1996
Tip 001 Correct Setup for HP-12c Calculators 8/1/1996 4/5/2017

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